{"id":8359,"date":"2025-02-26T09:35:53","date_gmt":"2025-02-26T14:35:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/?p=8359"},"modified":"2026-07-28T09:59:45","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T14:59:45","slug":"seminar-5-march-improving-predictions-of-permafrost-conditions-by-using-data-from-climate-models-that-centres-the-impacts-of-permafrost-thaw","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/news\/seminar-5-march-improving-predictions-of-permafrost-conditions-by-using-data-from-climate-models-that-centres-the-impacts-of-permafrost-thaw\/","title":{"rendered":"Seminar &#8211; 5 March &#8211; Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw."},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/people\/galina-jonat\/\">Galina Jonat<\/a> will be presenting<em> Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Date:<strong>&nbsp;5 March&nbsp;2025<\/strong><br>Time:<strong>&nbsp;13:00-14:00<\/strong>&nbsp;Eastern Time<br>Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Permafrost predictions rely on models that simulate how the ground responds to changes in climate. These predictions are of limited use for local studies as climate model data does not capture small-scale variations and contains uncertainties and biases. While&nbsp;<em>bias correction<\/em>&nbsp;can improve how well the climate data matches local climate dynamics, these improvements do not always lead to improvements in the predictions of permafrost change produced by permafrost models.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this seminar, Galina will introduce a new way to select bias-corrected climate model data based on how well it represents permafrost conditions. She will use examples from two sites near Inuvik to show how this approach can help reduce uncertainty and improve predictions about how permafrost will change over time.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1440\" height=\"1920\" src=\"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Untitled-design.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Untitled-design.jpg 1440w, https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Untitled-design-225x300.jpg 225w, https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Untitled-design-768x1024.jpg 768w, https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Untitled-design-1152x1536.jpg 1152w, https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Untitled-design-9x12.jpg 9w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1440px) 100vw, 1440px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Galina Jonat will be presenting Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw. Date:&nbsp;5 March&nbsp;2025Time:&nbsp;13:00-14:00&nbsp;Eastern TimeLocation: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site). Permafrost predictions rely on models that simulate how the ground responds to changes in climate. These [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":8362,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35,91],"tags":[90],"class_list":["post-8359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-seminar","tag-seminars"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Seminar - 5 March - Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw. &#8211; PermafrostNet<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.permafrostnet.ca\/news\/seminar-5-march-improving-predictions-of-permafrost-conditions-by-using-data-from-climate-models-that-centres-the-impacts-of-permafrost-thaw\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Seminar - 5 March - Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw. &#8211; PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Galina Jonat will be presenting Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw. Date:&nbsp;5 March&nbsp;2025Time:&nbsp;13:00-14:00&nbsp;Eastern TimeLocation: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site). Permafrost predictions rely on models that simulate how the ground responds to changes in climate. These [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.permafrostnet.ca\/news\/seminar-5-march-improving-predictions-of-permafrost-conditions-by-using-data-from-climate-models-that-centres-the-impacts-of-permafrost-thaw\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-26T14:35:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-28T14:59:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/20220820_174132.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1440\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tristan MacLean\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Tristan MacLean\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimation du temps de lecture\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/news\\\/seminar-5-march-improving-predictions-of-permafrost-conditions-by-using-data-from-climate-models-that-centres-the-impacts-of-permafrost-thaw\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/news\\\/seminar-5-march-improving-predictions-of-permafrost-conditions-by-using-data-from-climate-models-that-centres-the-impacts-of-permafrost-thaw\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Tristan MacLean\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/70e67e64ed65de9f0559f2a871467859\"},\"headline\":\"Seminar &#8211; 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Date:&nbsp;5 March&nbsp;2025Time:&nbsp;13:00-14:00&nbsp;Eastern TimeLocation: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site). Permafrost predictions rely on models that simulate how the ground responds to changes in climate. 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