{"id":6734,"date":"2023-12-19T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-12-19T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/?p=6734"},"modified":"2026-05-22T11:17:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T16:17:53","slug":"performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/blog\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\/","title":{"rendered":"Performance of climate projections for Yukon and adjacent Northwest Territories."},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 id=\"wp-block-themeisle-blocks-advanced-heading-b19cc06b\" class=\"wp-block-themeisle-blocks-advanced-heading wp-block-themeisle-blocks-advanced-heading-b19cc06b\"><strong>Performance of climate projections for Yukon and adjacent Northwest Territories<\/strong>.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>La conception des infrastructures sur le perg\u00e9lisol doit tenir compte des impacts du changement climatique sur la stabilit\u00e9 du sol. Alors que des lignes directrices comme la&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climatechange.toolkitnwtac.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/21\/2019\/08\/Technical-Guide-Infrastructure-CSA.pdf\">CSA PLUS 4011:19<\/a>&nbsp;fournissent un cadre, le choix de sc\u00e9narios climatiques appropri\u00e9s reste un d\u00e9fi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L'\u00e9tude par&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/people\/astrid-schetselaar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Astrid Schetselaar,<\/a>&nbsp;Trevor Anderson et Chris Burn r\u00e9v\u00e8le que le r\u00e9chauffement observ\u00e9 au Yukon et dans les Territoires du Nord-Ouest (1991 \u00e0 2020) correspond aux projections climatiques extr\u00eames r\u00e9alis\u00e9es en 2003 pour le projet gazier Mackenzie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Points cl\u00e9s \u00e0 retenir pour les d\u00e9veloppeurs :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Envisagez d\u2019adopter des sc\u00e9narios de changement climatique plus agressifs lors de la conception des fondations du perg\u00e9lisol, car ces projections sont plus pr\u00e9cises.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le perg\u00e9lisol proche de la surface dans les parties m\u00e9ridionales de la r\u00e9gion pourrait devenir insoutenable. Des \u00e9tudes approfondies du site pour d\u00e9tecter les sols stables au d\u00e9gel sont cruciales.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La hausse des temp\u00e9ratures hivernales signifie que l'efficacit\u00e9 op\u00e9rationnelle des thermosiphons, utilis\u00e9s pour refroidir les fondations, pourrait \u00eatre entrav\u00e9e.  Sur les sites o\u00f9 la pr\u00e9servation du sol gel\u00e9 est essentielle \u00e0 l\u2019int\u00e9grit\u00e9 des infrastructures, le nombre de thermosiphons requis peut devoir augmenter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Schetselaar, A.B., Andersen, T.S., and Burn, C.R. 2023.&nbsp;<strong>Performance of climate projections for Yukon and adjacent Northwest Territories<\/strong>, 1991-2020.&nbsp;<em>Arctic<\/em>, 76(3).&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.14430\/arctic77263\">doi: 10.14430\/arctic77263<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"865\" height=\"787\" src=\"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/ee017fcc-7878-97fa-5420-b5df6386069f.jpg\" alt=\"Yukon Territory and western Northwest Territories, including Mackenzie Mountains and adjacent Mackenzie River Valley, with locations of all weather stations.\" class=\"wp-image-6735\" srcset=\"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/ee017fcc-7878-97fa-5420-b5df6386069f.jpg 865w, https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/ee017fcc-7878-97fa-5420-b5df6386069f-300x273.jpg 300w, https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/ee017fcc-7878-97fa-5420-b5df6386069f-768x699.jpg 768w, https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/ee017fcc-7878-97fa-5420-b5df6386069f-13x12.jpg 13w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 865px) 100vw, 865px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Territoire du Yukon et ouest des Territoires du Nord-Ouest, y compris les monts Mackenzie et la vall\u00e9e adjacente du fleuve Mackenzie, avec l'emplacement de toutes les stations m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:44px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The design of infrastructure on permafrost must account for the impacts of a changing climate on ground stability. While guidelines like&nbsp;CSA PLUS 4011:19&nbsp;provide a framework, choosing appropriate climate scenarios remains a challenge. The study by&nbsp;Astrid Schetselaar,&nbsp;Trevor Anderson and Chris Burn reveals that observed warming in the Yukon and Northwest Territories [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":6735,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36,35,118],"tags":[18,135,79,134,56,102],"class_list":["post-6734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-news","category-publications","tag-climate-scenarios","tag-engineering-design","tag-infrastructure","tag-mackenzie-valley","tag-publication","tag-yukon"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Performance of climate projections for Yukon and adjacent Northwest Territories. &#8211; PermafrostNet<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.permafrostnet.ca\/blog\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_CA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Performance of climate projections for Yukon and adjacent Northwest Territories. &#8211; PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The design of infrastructure on permafrost must account for the impacts of a changing climate on ground stability. While guidelines like&nbsp;CSA PLUS 4011:19&nbsp;provide a framework, choosing appropriate climate scenarios remains a challenge. The study by&nbsp;Astrid Schetselaar,&nbsp;Trevor Anderson and Chris Burn reveals that observed warming in the Yukon and Northwest Territories [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.permafrostnet.ca\/blog\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-12-19T14:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-22T16:17:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.permafrostnet.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/ee017fcc-7878-97fa-5420-b5df6386069f.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"865\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"787\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tristan MacLean\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@PermafrostNet\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Tristan MacLean\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimation du temps de lecture\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/blog\\\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/blog\\\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Tristan MacLean\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/70e67e64ed65de9f0559f2a871467859\"},\"headline\":\"Performance of climate projections for Yukon and adjacent Northwest Territories.\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-12-19T14:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-22T16:17:53+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/blog\\\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":219,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/blog\\\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/permafrostnet.ca\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/03\\\/ee017fcc-7878-97fa-5420-b5df6386069f.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"climate scenarios\",\"engineering design\",\"Infrastructure\",\"Mackenzie Valley\",\"publication\",\"Yukon\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Blog\",\"News\",\"Publications\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/blog\\\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/blog\\\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.permafrostnet.ca\\\/blog\\\/performance-of-climate-projections-for-yukon-and-adjacent-northwest-territories\\\/\",\"name\":\"Performance of climate projections for Yukon and adjacent Northwest Territories. &#8211; 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MacLean","author_link":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/author\/tristan\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"The design of infrastructure on permafrost must account for the impacts of a changing climate on ground stability. 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The study by&nbsp;Astrid Schetselaar,&nbsp;Trevor Anderson and Chris Burn reveals that observed warming in the Yukon and Northwest Territories [&hellip;]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6734"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6734\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6736,"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6734\/revisions\/6736"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6735"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/permafrostnet.ca\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}