Seminar – 23 April – Assessing Thaw Settlement Vulnerability of the Hudson Bay Railway in the Face of Climate Change.

Zhina Rezvani will be presenting Assessing Thaw Settlement Vulnerability of the Hudson Bay Railway in the Face of Climate Change.

Date: 23 April 2025
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

The effects of climate change are intensified in northern regions due to polar amplification. As a result, the stability and functionality of infrastructure in these areas are under greater threat than ever before. The Hudson Bay Railway (HBR), located in northern Manitoba, is a prime example of vulnerable infrastructure facing the challenges of a warming climate.

In this webinar, Zhina Rezvani will share insights into assessing the impacts of climate change on permafrost thaw, which leads to soil settlement beneath the railway embankment. Her research involves finite element thermal modeling followed by coupled thermo-mechanical modeling to simulate both the current and projected future conditions of the soil and permafrost under the railway embankment and adjacent area. The findings of this study will support HBR policymakers in making informed, strategic decisions regarding the future of the railway, whether through improvement methods, mitigation measures, or potential realignment of certain sections.

Seminar – 16 April – Exploring Traditional Knowledge of Permafrost Change in the Gwich’in Settlement Area and Inuvialuit Settlement Region.

Emma Street will be presenting Exploring Traditional Knowledge of Permafrost Change in the Gwich’in Settlement Area and Inuvialuit Settlement Region.

Date: 16 April 2025
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

Rapid climate change at high latitudes is transforming permafrost landscapes: threatening infrastructure, ecosystems, and socio-cultural traditions in Arctic communities. This project seeks to better understand the implications of permafrost change in Gwich’in and Inuvialuit communities in the Canadian Arctic. Using semi-structured interviews and ethnographic mapping in collaboration with knowledge holders, the goals of this project are to (1) document Traditional Knowledge pertaining to permafrost, (2) map evidence of permafrost change in Gwich’in and Inuvialuit communities, and (3) inform responsive monitoring programs. 110 interviews have been completed for this project among the eight communities of Paulatuk, Sachs Harbour, Tuktoyaktuk, Ulukhaktok, Fort McPherson, Tsiigehtchic, Aklavik, and Inuvik. This presentation describes the Two-Eyed Seeing and community-driven participatory research.

POSTPONED – Seminar – 9 April – How can we learn more about permafrost thaw in Canada from borehole temperature observations?

Olivia Meier-Legault will be presenting How can we learn more about permafrost thaw in Canada from borehole temperature observations?

Date: TBD
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

Mean annual ground temperature (MAGT) is widely used as a key indicator of permafrost change and has long informed climate assessments. However, in the presence of melting ice, latent heat effects can dampen temperature trends, making interpretation difficult. To address this limitation, complementary metrics derived from simulations resembling borehole temperature observations have been developed and tested to show their ability to provide new information on heat gain in the permafrost column.

In this seminar, Olivia will present the application of five of these metrics on borehole temperature observations. The metrics are (1) MAGT, (2) mean annual ground surface temperature, (3) top of permafrost, (4) depth of zero annual amplitude, and (5) the thermal integral. She will cover how these metrics maximize the use of available data and improve our understanding of permafrost thaw in Canada.

Seminar – 2 April – Ground Ice Detection with Spectral Induced Polarization.

Hosein Fereydooni will be presenting Ground Ice Detection with Spectral Induced Polarization.

Date: 2 April 2025
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

The melting of ground ice poses significant hazards in permafrost regions, leading to ground instability, infrastructure damage, and environmental changes. Detecting ground ice effectively is crucial for mitigating these risks, yet conventional geophysical methods—such as electrical resistivity, seismic surveys, and ground-penetrating radar—often produce ambiguous results due to the overlapping properties of frozen and unfrozen ground.

This presentation will explore the potential of Spectral Induced Polarization (SIP) as a more precise method for identifying ground ice. It will begin by discussing the theoretical foundations and mathematical principles of SIP, followed by an examination of various polarization mechanisms, with a focus on those specific to frozen environments, and an explanation of relaxation time. The study will then present field measurement results from a permafrost site in Yukon, demonstrating SIP’s ability to detect and distinguish ground ice in real-world conditions.

Seminar – 5 March – Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw.

Galina Jonat will be presenting Improving predictions of permafrost conditions by using data from climate models that centres the impacts of permafrost thaw.

Date: 5 March 2025
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

Permafrost predictions rely on models that simulate how the ground responds to changes in climate. These predictions are of limited use for local studies as climate model data does not capture small-scale variations and contains uncertainties and biases. While bias correction can improve how well the climate data matches local climate dynamics, these improvements do not always lead to improvements in the predictions of permafrost change produced by permafrost models.

In this seminar, Galina will introduce a new way to select bias-corrected climate model data based on how well it represents permafrost conditions. She will use examples from two sites near Inuvik to show how this approach can help reduce uncertainty and improve predictions about how permafrost will change over time.

Seminar – 12 February‚ Post-Drainage Evolution of Wolverine Lake, Old Crow Flats, Yukon.

février 12 @ 1:00 pm 2:00 pm UTC-5

Date: Wednesday 12th February 2025
Time: 1pm Eastern Time / 11am Mountain Time

Danielle Chiasson will be presenting Post-Drainage Evolution of Wolverine Lake, Old Crow Flats, Yukon.

This presentation explores the post-drainage evolution of vegetation succession and basin morphology of a large lake that drained in Old Crow Flats prior to anthropogenic climate warming. Old Crow Flats is a large permafrost lowland undergoing rapid landscape change related to catastrophic lake drainage events and landscape-scale shrubification. While post-drainage conditions have been well documented in modern lake basins, little is known about the evolution from young basins to old. Danielle will present the results from her radiocarbon dated macrofossil analyses of the margin and centre of a drained lake basin. By reconstructing the history of vegetation succession and its associated permafrost conditions better comparisons can be made of past and present basin evolution.

Zoom details for all our seminars will be posted in our Teams site.

Détails

Date :
février 12
Heure :
1:00 pm – 2:00 pm UTC-5
Étiquettes Évènement :

Zoom

Seminar – 12 February – Post-Drainage Evolution of Wolverine Lake, Old Crow Flats, Yukon.

Danielle Chiasson will be presenting Post-Drainage Evolution of Wolverine Lake, Old Crow Flats, Yukon.

Date: 12 February 2025
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

This presentation explores the post-drainage evolution of vegetation succession and basin morphology of a large lake that drained in Old Crow Flats prior to anthropogenic climate warming. Old Crow Flats is a large permafrost lowland undergoing rapid landscape change related to catastrophic lake drainage events and landscape-scale shrubification. While post-drainage conditions have been well documented in modern lake basins, little is known about the evolution from young basins to old. Danielle will present the results from her radiocarbon dated macrofossil analyses of the margin and centre of a drained lake basin. By reconstructing the history of vegetation succession and its associated permafrost conditions better comparisons can be made of past and present basin evolution.

Seminar – 13 November – Modelling the nitrogen cycle of mosses across the boreal forest.

Rose Lefebvre will be presenting Modelling the nitrogen cycle of mosses across the boreal forest.

Date: 13 November 2024
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

Mosses are common ground cover species in the boreal forest. They can influence different components of the ecosystem, such as the ground thermal regime due to their insulating properties, and the nitrogen cycle through biological nitrogen fixation. Mosses are not always included in terrestrial biosphere models, which are used to make climate projections. The Canadian Land Surface Scheme Including Biogeochemical Cycles (CLASSIC) was modified with the goal of improving productivity simulations across the North American boreal forest. Feather mosses and the nitrogen cycle of mosses were implemented in CLASSIC. The model was validated by comparing observation data against model output at eight sites. The sites range from being near the southern limit of permafrost to being in the continuous permafrost zone. Once validated, the model was run across the North American boreal forest.

Seminar – 16 October – Performance of Drilling Waste Sumps, Western Arctic Canada.

Rae Landriau will be presenting Performance of Drilling Waste Sumps, Western Arctic Canada.

Date: 16 October 2024
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

Petroleum resource exploration and development has occurred in the Northwest Territories since the 1920s. Freezing-point depressants, mainly potassium chloride, were added to drilling fluids to facilitate drilling into permafrost. Disposal of these fluids was typically in large man-made pits (sumps). Sumps were excavated in permafrost, with the intention that frozen ground would contain the fluids indefinitely. Climatic warming in northwest Canada has raised the temperature of near-surface permafrost, increasing the potential for failure of sumps in the region. Using electro-magnetic surveys, ground conductivity on and off sumps can be collected and analyzed to detect the presence of these fluids and determine if they have migrated.

Seminar – 18 September – Development and demonstration of a statistical ranking framework for ground temperature models, tailored towards permafrost environments.

Hannah Macdonell will be presenting Development and demonstration of a statistical ranking framework for ground temperature models, tailored towards permafrost environments.

Date: 18 September 2024
Time: 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time
Location: Zoom (details are posted in our Teams site).

Models used to simulate permafrost variables such as ground temperature are important tools for understanding the current state and future conditions of permafrost. However, few objective methods of establishing model accuracy exist for permafrost environments. Additionally, models often range in their performance given different conditions such as terrain type or seasonality. Hannah will be presenting her master’s research that looked at (1) identifying patterns in ground-temperature model performance under different testing conditions and (2) developing a quantitative measure of ground-temperature model performance in permafrost zones.